April 3, 2010 – 10:41 am | 7 Comments

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all …

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Discussions about the theory behind the game.

Opponent Modelling

Ideas about modelling opponent’s play, and how to best do that with mathematical tools.

Hand Analysis

Analyses of past hands (my own or otherwise), using math as much as possible to determine how well the hand was played.

Mental Processes

Thoughts about the mental/psychological side of poker – dealing with tilt, etc.


Other information – book reviews, contests, announcements, or random spew.

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Articles tagged with: odds

Folding AQ offsuit Preflop
March 7, 2010 – 8:30 pm | 5 Comments

[update: After some discussions on the forum, I realized I was missing something, and so I’ve taken a closer look at the hand. You can read the new analysis here.]
I was playing in a live …

Small Ball Strategy – Flop Bet Sizing
January 17, 2010 – 10:58 pm | 5 Comments

In a previous post, I looked at this example from TrueGamble, and studied the preflop action; concluding that the ideal raise would have been between 2.5x to 3x the big blind, and that the 2x …

Math Corrections: TPTK Odds
December 27, 2009 – 12:59 am | No Comment

Looking back at my post on Broadway vs Small Pairs, I realize I made a mistake in one of the calculations. In the post, I said this:
There are 2 more Js which you don’t want, …