April 3, 2010 – 10:41 am | 7 Comments

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all …

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Theoretical

Discussions about the theory behind the game.

Opponent Modelling

Ideas about modelling opponent’s play, and how to best do that with mathematical tools.

Hand Analysis

Analyses of past hands (my own or otherwise), using math as much as possible to determine how well the hand was played.

Mental Processes

Thoughts about the mental/psychological side of poker – dealing with tilt, etc.

Miscellaneous

Other information – book reviews, contests, announcements, or random spew.

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Grinding Up From 0.02NL
December 24, 2009 – 10:42 am | No Comment
Grinding Up From 0.02NL

About a week ago, I blew my whole bankroll on Pokerstars (all of about 6USD). I could make excuses for sure, but the truth is, I just played badly.
So, after emptying my account (by losing …

Broadway vs Small Pairs Flop Analysis
December 22, 2009 – 10:13 am | 6 Comments

An interesting question came up on the 2+2 forums. The poster had heard the statement “it is easier to play a hand like AJ OOP then a small pocket pair because you will flop TPTK …

New Look, and Some Questions
December 18, 2009 – 10:02 am | No Comment

Over the last couple of days, I’ve been tweaking the theme and widgets on this blog, and getting things set up just how I want it to be. Just wanted to highlight some of the …

Expected Value In Poker
December 16, 2009 – 10:33 pm | One Comment
Expected Value In Poker

Image via Wikipedia

A couple of people have mentioned that they find what I’m doing here interesting (thanks, by the way, really appreciate the support), but that the math can be hard to follow. So I …

Small Ball Strategy – Pre Flop
December 12, 2009 – 3:00 am | 4 Comments
Small Ball Strategy – Pre Flop

I just came across a post from the folks at True Gamble, saying the the “Small Ball” strategy (hugely publicized by Daniel Negreanu), is not good for beginners.
Personally, I like the idea of the Small …

A Model For Folding
December 5, 2009 – 3:31 am | One Comment

When analyzing the last hand, I realized that I need a model to predict whether my opponent (given a certain hand) will fold. Basically a way for me to say “if he has X-X cards, …

Trip 8s vs Draws
December 3, 2009 – 10:03 am | 3 Comments
Trip 8s vs Draws

Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold’em – 5 players – View hand 399873
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (CO): $1.91
BTN: $1.06
SB: $3.10
BB: $0.65
UTG: $0.85
So, this was a hand I lost a while ago on PokerStars. …

Is Poker Really About Math?
December 1, 2009 – 4:33 am | One Comment
Is Poker Really About Math?

Since starting this blog, I’ve talked to a couple of people about the idea. The reaction I’ve received so far has been, well, mixed – intrigue and skepticism at the same time. Most people seem …

Pre-Flop Shoves: Opponent’s Range
November 28, 2009 – 9:52 am | 2 Comments

In the last post, we took an initial look at pre-flop shoves, and came to the rough conclusion that if you’re short-stacked (with less than 10 big blinds), you should go all in with the …

Pre-Flop Shoves
November 23, 2009 – 10:09 am | 3 Comments

I thought the first thing I should look at are pre-flop shoves, purely for ease of calculation. There seems to be a common idea that when you’re short stacked, you should shove with any two …