Comments on: A Closer Look at the AQo Hand

By: Derrick Kwa

Derrick Kwa — Wed, 24 Mar 2010 23:07:57 +0000

Yeah, I know. And a lot of you probably won't agree with me on this, but I feel like it was a very situation dependant read, and that's what I'm basing this analysis on (as I mentioned). It's so marginal, though, that a different read would probably swing the EV to below 0.

By: Derrick Kwa

Derrick Kwa — Wed, 24 Mar 2010 22:50:19 +0000

Hm...Well, how does being OOP affect the hand, though? It basically means that you have to act first, and you lose information. But I would say that the approach I'm trying to take kind of negates that factor. By predicting how your opponent would react to a bet with various cards, and how often you come out ahead, it gives you the "information" required. Of course, that means even more uncertainty to deal with.

As for the decision being wrong, I assume you mean that I should have folded, and that the call is wrong? I feel like the math shows it's kind of 50-50. It's a very small +EV, *given those assumptions*. But I think if the assumptions/reads I have are wrong, it could swing it either way, so it really becomes how confident you are of your reads of the players. I think a case for it can be made either way.

By: jason

jason — Sun, 21 Mar 2010 08:15:02 +0000

with those bets, if i were an opponent, i might not call an ace on the flop with a pair.

By: vipeldeu

vipeldeu — Fri, 12 Mar 2010 17:51:36 +0000

it certainly is a great blog. i will go through it carefully.

i like the approach. i like it very much. i would have folded online too, OOP being extremely important.

I think that live games are looser, checking through the ranges I'd may tighten BB a bit more, but I don´t think that would make much difference.

So after reading your math, something I am simply not capable of doing, your decision was wrong.

could we put being OOP in a math equation?

By: Derrick Kwa

Derrick Kwa — Tue, 09 Mar 2010 11:47:59 +0000

Thanks for the kudos. =). Appreciate it. As for video, good suggestion, I'll definitely be looking into that.

By: lovesuperkarma

lovesuperkarma — Mon, 08 Mar 2010 23:50:23 +0000

Just asking if you can have what you say in video the numbers is freaking me out. but kudos on your very unique blog.

By: Folding AQ offsuit Preflop « Counting The Odds

Folding AQ offsuit Preflop « Counting The Odds — Mon, 08 Mar 2010 15:34:43 +0000

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