April 3, 2010 – 10:41 am | 7 Comments

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all …

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Discussions about the theory behind the game.

Opponent Modelling

Ideas about modelling opponent’s play, and how to best do that with mathematical tools.

Hand Analysis

Analyses of past hands (my own or otherwise), using math as much as possible to determine how well the hand was played.

Mental Processes

Thoughts about the mental/psychological side of poker – dealing with tilt, etc.


Other information – book reviews, contests, announcements, or random spew.

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Article Archive for February 2010

Getting Value From Flush Draw on the Flop
February 21, 2010 – 10:28 pm | 17 Comments
Getting Value From Flush Draw on the Flop

This is a topic I’ve been wondering about, so I thought I’d do some calculations to figure out the best line of play here. So, imagine a situation like this.
Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold’em …

Opponent Modelling – Calling/Raising a 4-bet
February 9, 2010 – 2:20 am | 2 Comments
Opponent Modelling – Calling/Raising a 4-bet

One thing about poker math is that it’s not just about odds. A proper application of math to poker also looks at modelling opponents.
So, today I want to take an initial look at this. Say, …