April 3, 2010 – 10:41 am | 7 Comments

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all …

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Discussions about the theory behind the game.

Opponent Modelling

Ideas about modelling opponent’s play, and how to best do that with mathematical tools.

Hand Analysis

Analyses of past hands (my own or otherwise), using math as much as possible to determine how well the hand was played.

Mental Processes

Thoughts about the mental/psychological side of poker – dealing with tilt, etc.


Other information – book reviews, contests, announcements, or random spew.

Miscellaneous »

Get My Free Pocket Guide to Poker Odds
March 15, 2010 – 7:59 pm | 5 Comments

Have you ever wondered how well a suited connector does against a pocket pair? Or how likely a set on the flop is likely to hold up against an open ended straight flush draw? Or what your chances of flopping a straight draw are with a hand like 3-5?

I’ve compiled some of what I feel are the most relevant of these odds into one short/simple ebook. It includes some information on starting hands, comparisons of hand types, among other things.

And I’m giving it away for free for anyone who signs up to get the free email updates for this blog, so if that sounds good to you, sign up now (it’s free)!

Folding AQ offsuit Preflop
March 7, 2010 – 8:30 pm | 5 Comments

[update: After some discussions on the forum, I realized I was missing something, and so I’ve taken a closer look at the hand. You can read the new analysis here.]
I was playing in a live …

Getting Value From Flush Draw on the Flop
February 21, 2010 – 10:28 pm | 17 Comments
Getting Value From Flush Draw on the Flop

This is a topic I’ve been wondering about, so I thought I’d do some calculations to figure out the best line of play here. So, imagine a situation like this.
Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold’em …

WBCOOP 2010 So Far
January 30, 2010 – 8:23 pm | 4 Comments

So far I’ve played in two events of this year’s WBCOOP, finishing 233rd out of 1740 in Event #1, and and 329th out of 1876 in Event #4. It’s nice to be finishing in the …

2NL Update
January 14, 2010 – 1:25 am | 5 Comments
2NL Update

It’s been about a month since I re-deposited my $10 into my PokerStars account and started playing at 2NL. Since then, I’ve played over 2000 hands, and my deposit is currently at about $22. Here’s …

Theory of Induction
January 11, 2010 – 11:11 pm | No Comment

I had a really good discussion in my earlier post about my Pocket Aces hand. One thing from the conversation that struck me the most, however, was this statement by “Micro Donk”
if they fold to …

No Limit Hold Em Theory by Sklanksy and Miller
January 8, 2010 – 1:19 am | 4 Comments

No, this isn’t a book review post. It’s actually more of a question to you guys.
I’ve seen the book, No Limit Hold ‘Em Theory by Sklanksy and Miller, around, and it seems like an interesting …

My Goals For 2010
December 31, 2009 – 10:34 pm | One Comment

So, we’re moving into a New Year, and I thought it’s about time I set some goals for 2010. Poker-related ones, anyway.
Firstly, this blog. I’d want to get a 150 subscribers for this blog by …

My Biggest Leak: Pocket Aces
December 30, 2009 – 10:15 pm | 8 Comments
My Biggest Leak: Pocket Aces

Image by dotbenjamin via Flickr

I was looking through my PokerTracker 3 database, and it seems like my biggest leak is pocket Aces. Yes, I’ve only had just over a thousand hands, and that is far …

How Physical Condition Affects Play
December 28, 2009 – 7:56 pm | 2 Comments

I’ve been down over the Christmas weekend with a really bad fever, hitting 39.1 deg C at one point. Even then, I tried playing a couple of sessions, but soon realized it was a really …

Math Corrections: TPTK Odds
December 27, 2009 – 12:59 am | No Comment

Looking back at my post on Broadway vs Small Pairs, I realize I made a mistake in one of the calculations. In the post, I said this:
There are 2 more Js which you don’t want, …